Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Sunday, Oct. 18, that four service members died in the fire that swept through Canadian Forces Base Wainwright in east-central Alberta the previous afternoon. “I regret that I can confirm at this time that four service members have lost their lives and their next of kin have been notified. Dozens more are seriously wounded,” he said, according to the transcript his office published. He described “a violent, fast-moving fire” and called what followed “one of the worst tragedies for the Forces on Canadian soil in peacetime.” The BBC, the Guardian and CBC News carry the same four deaths; the BBC says the names have not come out but the families have heard.

Unnamed sources point to a higher toll. CBC News says sources earlier told it of seven fatalities, while the prime minister has confirmed four deaths. Global News says separate military sources told it that “at least seven people died in the incident.” The BBC notes that Canadian media reported seven, citing unnamed military sources, before Carney spoke, and that he did not say whether the government expects the toll to rise. This desk could not reconcile the two figures; only the four deaths carry an on-the-record official source.

National Defence says in a news release that a fire “ignited within the training area” at about 4:00 p.m. local time on Oct. 17 (3:00 PM PT) and “spread rapidly beyond the boundaries of the training area.” The same release says the armed forces would not confirm casualty or injury details until next-of-kin notification finished. The BBC quotes the department as saying the cause remains under investigation, and the Guardian reports Defence Minister David McGuinty as saying the Royal Canadian Mounted Police took part in the investigation. The Municipal District of Wainwright posted that the fire “spread rapidly due to high winds,” the BBC reports; the Guardian says a windstorm with gusts of up to 100kmh hit large areas of the province that day.

Accounts of the cause diverge. Global News reports, citing multiple military sources, that a preliminary investigation suggests “a munition from a live training exercise sparked a fast-moving grass fire, causing Saturday’s explosion.” The BBC says local media reported the fire may have started when a gas main took a hit during a live firing exercise. CBC News reports that the Alberta Energy Regulator says it has not received “any reports of incidents involving oil and gas infrastructure,” and that the general manager of Phoenix Gas Co-op told CBC the incident did not affect any of its infrastructure. Global and the Guardian describe an explosion; the prime minister’s transcript and the National Defence release that this desk read do not mention one.

Carney says those affected came from bases across the country, “including reservists and soldiers from the storied Princess Patricia’s Canadian Light Infantry,” per the transcript. He says he asked senior officials on the ground in Wainwright, including the defence minister, the emergency preparedness minister and Maj.-Gen. Wade Rutland, to give Canadians a detailed account and formal briefing on Sunday afternoon; this desk had not seen that briefing at writing time. Carney adds that STARS air ambulance crews flew in from Edmonton and Saskatoon and that medical staff in Wainwright, Edmonton, Red Deer and Calgary have cared for victims.

The BBC says Alberta’s health service reported a 10-hour emergency response with 22 ambulances and eight aircraft, and that Edmonton’s Royal Alexandra Hospital, which declared a code orange on Saturday evening, stood it down on Sunday afternoon. The Guardian quotes Dr Warren Thirsk, an emergency department physician at the Royal Alexandra, telling CBC News: “This number of patients would overwhelm the city of Edmonton.” Alberta Premier Danielle Smith called the losses “heartbreaking” in a post on X, CBC News reports, and said flags at provincial buildings would fly at half-mast.

Alberta holds a provincial referendum on Monday. CBC News reports that Elections Alberta says both Wainwright voting locations, at the Wainwright Communiplex and the Legion Branch 29, will open as planned on Monday, Oct. 19, from 9 a.m. to 8 p.m.; it says Elections Alberta shut the advance polling site at the Communiplex around 6:30 p.m. on Saturday and redirected voters to Lloydminster and Vermilion. This desk did not visit the base and could not verify the toll, the number of injured or the cause.